Manmade Indian Katrina Unfolding In 24 to 72 Hours

Manmade Indian Katrina Unfolding In 24 to 72 Hours



In an unprecedented man made tragedy to unfold in 24 to 72 hours large part of Punjab and Delhi is expected to go under water with severe flooding of unprecedented magnitude and medium flooding in Haryana in view of unprecedented rains in Himachal, Uttarkhand, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh . Heavy floods are visiting East Uttar Pradesh second time this year.



Dams in Punjab were filled up around August 13 when first wave of moderate floods struck Punjab and also Delhi to warn the concerned agencies of the expected real floods the way like first wave of Tsunami was warning followed by destructive wall of on rushing water.



Very heavy rains lashed Himachal and Punjab in last 24 hours would result in floods of unprecedented magnitude unheard of the world – since the commission of Bhakra Dam the capacity of the Sutlej has diminished and reduced to just 80,000 cusecs against over 5,00,000 cusecs and more just like Kosi embankments failed when floods was moderate of 1,00,000 cusec capacity against original design of 9,50,000 cusecs.



Expected flood discharge would be around 2maf to 3 maf this is 5 lac cusecs for 4 and 6 days and just about 50% of live storage of Bhakra Dam. Water releases from Pong too shall be very heavy.



http://www.imd. ernet.in/ section/nhac/ dynamic/RAINTBL. HTM

http://trmm. gsfc.nasa. gov/publications _dir/instant_ 2.html



Over 2,70,000 cusec water was released today evening that is likely to top embankments in Delhi in view encroachments and reduced capacity of Yamuna. East Delhi and many areas at entrance point will get heavy floods.



Fortunately in case of Delhi floods of around 150,000 cusec capacity were conducted recently so in case floods are absorbed in Haryana,



http://trmm. gsfc.nasa. gov/trmm_ rain/Events/ latest_big_ 3hrly.gif



But at 11 PM heavy rains are underway in the catchments of Sutlej and very heavy rains in Ganga and Sharda catchments in Uttarkhand and Nepal regions.



Floods in Sutlej will hit Ludhiana by Sunday evening and later spread to other districts but area going under floods this time may be 10 times more that recent August flooding.



In Haryana low areas around Rohtak like 1995 floods will get flooded. New drains are operational since than so water will drain out in few days.



Himachal will get heavy damage in few places due to very heavy rains and continuing till this moment particularly to dams under constructions in the state.



East UP is getting heavy floods second time this season.



Ravinder Singh

September20, 2008

11.35 PM